# Conversion Errors

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# Methodologies

Methodology:
SWOT analysis (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats)


# POC

Organization:
Advanced Research and Development Agency (ARDA)


Organization:
Argonne Nat'l. Lab., Threat Anticipation Center via Univ. of Chicago


Organization:
Co-Director, Professor of Political Science, University of Kansas


Organization:
Defence Science & Technology Organisation, Australia


Organization:
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency


Organization:
General Dynamics Advanced Information Systems.


Organization:
Los Alamos National Laboratory,  Complex Systems Group


Organization:
Marine Corps Combat Developments Command


Organization:
SAIL Labs Technology AG, www.sail-technology.com, Austria


Organization:
DIA Human Factors Analysis Center, Human Factors Forum


# Questions

Questions:
Predict where and when terrorist will attack


Questions:
Locating and modeling Terrorist Funds and funding streams


Questions:
Locating and modeling Terrorist Resource and Resource streams


Questions:
Prediciting Efects of Actions Taken Against Terrorists


Questions:
Engaging in a War of ideas at home and Abroad


Questions:
How do we support planning, execution monitoring and assessment?


Questions:
How do we support creating strategy and objectives?


Questions:
Construction of Social Network of Parent Orgs?


Questions:
How we identify individual terrorist to kill?


# QuestionTimeFrame

Question Time Frame:
Now to Real Soon for Operations / Later for Planning & Exercises


# ToolNames

Comment:
attempt to interface the various govt agencies databases; legal and cost issues to fusing data bases


Description: Use Case:
Environment Shaping/ Terrorist Environment Reduction


Name:
Individual Agent Modeling (Project Albert)


Description: Use Case:
Used to assess effects of multiple influences on a potential outcome

Application Area:
Theater  Security Cooperation program balancing


Description: Use Case:
Background information (Southeast Asian focus)


Name:
Inter-Agency Center for Applied Homeland Security Technology (ICAHST)


Description: Use Case:
Background information (no geographic focus)


Name:
Conceptual Model of Counter-Terrorism Operations


Name:
Combined Theater Analyst-Vetted Relational System (CT-AVRS)

Application Area:
System for vetting and organizing intelligence on individual terrorists; provide's basis for link analysis


Description: Use Case:
Analysis, operations: Association matrix of people & entities, link diagram, time event chart, telephone analysis, email import & analysis.


Name:
I2: Analyst's Notebook 6 & supporting products

Description: Use Case:
Analysis, operations: Association matrix of people & entities, link diagram, time event chart, telephone analysis.  Works with external GIS, databases, network analyses, cluster analysis, pattern tracer, charts & graphs, auto update from realtime data sources


Description: Use Case:
Analysis, operations: Association matrix of people & entities, link diagram, time event chart.  Internal GIS, databases, network analysis, cluster analysis, name spelling phonetic match, charts & graphs, duplicates detector


Name:
Novel Intelligence from Massive Data (NIMD)


Name:
Analysis of Complex Threats for Operations and Readiness (ACTOR)

Description: Use Case:
crisis planning, training, scenario development: Generates long-term forecasts of country instability (out 15 years, global coverage); scenario development, risk prioritization uses

Comment:
A sub-set of the overall analytic requirement  (specific country stability vs predetermined timeframe) (red/yellow/green by country)(tested on historical data).  Cost between nothing and marginal (to cover any specific custimizations that may need to be done)


Name:
Near-term Forecasts of Crisis and Instability using Text-Based Events (NEAR-TERM FORECITE)

Description: Use Case:
crisis planning, EBO (strategic level), training, analysis: online, closed access, open source web site that houses data/analysis to monitor and forecast indicators associated with instability in near- real time

Comment:
funding requested for future enhancements/functionality(validated against historical data)


Comment:
Mines media sources (text) for frequency of occurance of names.  Establishes elite network and infers power of individual


Description: Use Case:
Analysis, leader training: Comparison of alternatives


Name:
Threat Anticpation Program Agent Simulation (TAPAS)

Description: Use Case:
Intelligence and Military use for what-if analysis of IO campaigns and counter-terrorism ops: Agent-based simulation of terrorist organizations and how their sources of support

Application Area:
Public support of terrorist organizations, terrorist networks

Cost:
Currently funded to complete development in order to make it easier to integrate later.

Comment:
(not timely) (Simplicity - requires skilled analyst) (validated by expert opinion)


Description: Use Case:
Operations: The ASAS RWS receives and correlates data from strategic and tactical intelligence sensors and sources. This data includes electronic, signal, imagery, and human intelligence. The RWS displays the enemy and friendly situations and includes tools that can be used to perform IPB, situation and event analysis, and target planning.

Comment:
Data dependent.  In use as a general purpose intel tool  Generic intel tool not specifically designed for GWOT


Description: Use Case:
Operations & analysis: Situation awareness, comparison of alternatives

Application Area:
Overall peace & stability of geopolitical entity


Description: Use Case:
Operations: The JWARN is an automated workstation linked via tactical communications to NBC detection devices in the theater. It provides comprehensive NBC warning, reporting, and analysis capabilities and can display the type of event, time of the event, type of burst/agent, area of contamination, downwind hazard, and units affected.


Comment:
GRAPHICAL INTERFACE is considered critical to representing the GWOT problem and solution.  ESRI is one widely used format but other formats exist (Open Map, Atlas, etc)


Application Area:
Pattern recognition, complex data rendering (principally spatial)

Comment:
Visualizes high dimension data (requires additional software support to produce specific output)


Application Area:
Pattern recognition, complex data rendering (spatial and temporal)

Comment:
Used extensively in industry (potentially does not perform as advertised.)


Name:
A2IPB - Automated Assistance with Intelligence Preparation of the Battlespace

Description: Use Case:
Operations / Deliberate Planning: Predictive intelligence capability / Prior to hostilities, provides automated support to building an IPB knowledge and database that will identify potential enemy Courses of Action (COA) and vulnerabilities. / During hostilities, the IPB is used for sensor management, improved situation awareness and warning, predictive assessments, and more precise and streamlined targeting.


Description: Use Case:
Theater and Operational level collaborative interagency planning of influence operations, inclusing situation assessment, change methods, delivery mechanisms, and assessment. PSYOP Planning Module of IWPC to support Influence Ops, Provides the plan that requests support and feedback from reachback centers that have the detailed analytic tools and special cultural expertise

Application Area:
Target audiences in region of interest; friendly and hostile groups; message formulation and planning.


Description: Use Case:
Operations / Plannting: JTT will support operations and targeting requirements at the national, theater, and tactical level and will automatically receive and compile finished intelligence and operational data from both open and closed data sources. The JTT will integrate historical data with real-time intelligence, as well as perform and allow collaborative joint-user sessions to provide timely and accurate target development and assessment of political military systems. Fusing this analytical data with operational strategies and tasks via command-directed objectives and guidance. the JTT will assist in identifying target system vulnerabilities resulting in high-value/high-payoff targets as well as no strike targets and facilities sensitive to collateral damage. It will help determine target location and priority and recommend effective, coordinated applications of available lethal and non-lethal force.

Comment:
Used to generate Joint Integrated Prioritized Target List (JIPTL) in GCCS 4.0 (Not GWOT specific)


Comment:
Part of SDT in TBMCS. To be part of IWPC?


Name:
TBMCS - Theater Battle Mangement Core Systems

Description: Use Case:
Operations - Air Operations Center (AOC): Includes SPT - Strategy Planning Tool (Objective & Task Management as well as advanced evffects-based concepts such as "Effects" & Causal Linkages" / also assists with creation of Air Operations Directive (AOD), Joint Air Operations Plan (JAOP), and briefings), SMS - Strategy Management Service (Central repository for Air Operations Center (AOC) offensive & defensive straetgy), SDT - Strategy Development Tool (Supports development of an effects-based Course of Action / Adversarial Modeling / Target Set Visualization Tool), and SBC - Strategy Briefing composer (Customized multiple PowerPoint & Word templates)

Comment:
Considered not applicable to GWOT; SDT Being integrated into IWPC


Description: Use Case:
Data mining workbench, statistical analysis, modeling


Name:
Threat HUMINT Reporting Extracting & Display System (THREADS)


Name:
SAIL Labs Media Mining (MM) & Communications Mining (CM) Tool

Description: Use Case:
Open source intel (TV, radio, etc.) & CT voice analyis mining voice data and alerting

Comment:
Customizable, does English, German, French, Arabic dialects, ..., Integrated in Starlight 3.0 an optional phy in.


